A social publication of the weekend truth of President Donald Trump launched the first steps to create a strategic bitcoin reserve of the USA (BTC), but Polymeket merchants are skeptical that it will happen in the first 100 days.
At the time of publication, Polymarket’s traigators are giving a 23% possibility that a BTC strategic reserve is created within the first 100 days of Trump’s presidency, or for April 30, 2025.
The contract rules say that the United States government must maintain Bitcoin, and not confiscation, at 11:59 pm et on April 29 for this to resolve itself. The ads of the creation of a reservation do not count.
The chances of a reservation became a reality shot 11% to 23% in the moments after Trump’s announcement. Another contract that asks if a reservation will be created at the end of 2025 currently has a 65% chance to resolve yes.
Initially, the publication of Trump’s social networks announced the creation of the reserve only called XRP and Sol as components of the reserve, which caused its value, before clarifying that BTC and ETH would also be included in the reserve.
One of the most profitable merchants of the 100 -day Crypto reserve contract is Theo5, who seems to be affiliated with a French merchant who created a series of accounts, including Theo4, to address Trump’s victory directionally in the November 2024 elections.
Theo5 has currently published a gain of $ 40,000 in its position without.
Meanwhile, a merchant known as Polywog lost $ 73,000 in his YES position and also lost more than $ 560,000 by incorrectly betting the result of the 2025 elections.
