Can Tether’s domain survive the US Stablecoin bill. UU.



Ties

It is the main stablecoin in the world. Its digital emulation of the US dollar, 155 billion of them in the last count, is unmatched. But as things are, Tether is almost certain that he does not meet the demands for compliance with US legislators, since they are expected to push legislation on the law on Tuesday afternoon.

Tether can end the option to do: jump through some serious hoops to achieve compliance with the future law, or retreat and try to retain participation in the non -American market as the United States industry potentially increases on the scale and the federal government assumes its custom role to direct the regulatory demands of other jurisdictions worldwide, according to the predictions of experts.

The National Innovation Law for National Innovation of the United States of 2025 (Genius) is the bill of the United States Senate that faces its final path towards the Paso on Tuesday, which is the first in the important cryptographic legislation. Then he goes to the House of Representatives to be approved or to be worked. In the end, both cameras have to be well the same language so that President Donald Trump can sign it.

In its current form, the legislation leaves a path for foreign stablecoin issues in the United States, but could be complicated. In general terms, if companies like Tether want to offer their tokens to US users, they must be regulated by a foreign regime that has been approved by having similar standards that the US. Liquidity demands of the United States.

All the emitters supervised by the potential law would have to follow the strict reserve standards, maintaining effective, treasures and other related and highly liquid assets that coincide with their emission one by one. They must also be reviewed monthly by a registered public accounting firm, and the results certified by the CEO and CFO of the company, which means that the senior executives would face legal responsibility for deceiving the public. That is unusually solid supervision that would require more frequent public guarantees of Stablecoin issues than other financial institutions.

In addition, companies must comply with the complete set of money laundering controls faced by US financial firms.

Isn’t there a hurry for Tether?

“I am if I am tied, I am not going to run to the United States and say: ‘I am sure I want to be part of this, and I want to play in this game’, until I know what the regulations are,” said Steve Gannon, a lawyer who works with clients of digital assets in Davis Wright Tremaine, in a Colesk interview. “The downstream impact for Tether, in terms of having to comply with these regulations, could be a very considerable investment of time, effort, people, money and technology.”

In the end, Tether, one of the most lucrative companies in the world, can continue to focus on emerging markets, where Genius law would have little influence. Tether has recently located his headquarters in Crypto Haven El Salvador, who is obviously not one of the outstanding World Cups in financial regulation.

Even so, US legislation gives a tremendous discretion to the secretary of the Department of Treasury to make calls on which countries have sufficient regulations and if certain companies could receive several exemptions.

“The Trump administration, for example, could reach a reciprocity agreement with the Bukele regime in El Salvador, where Tether is based, which allows the total access of the roof to the US market while avoiding the requirements of the bill,” according to the conversation points published by the camp of one of the main opponents of the bill, Senator Elizabeth Warren, the democrat of classification in the committee in the committee in the committee Banking Senate

“It is difficult to imagine that El Salvador establishes a regime that is as sophisticated and safe as what is the regime of the United States, even as weak as this is,” said Corey Frayer, director of Investor Protection of the Federation of Consumers of America and a former Cryptographic Policies Advisor of the Bag and Values ​​Commission of the US which will be granted reciprocity and treated as if they were subject to the same standards. “

Despite his strong rhetoric, Warren and his allies could not prevent many of his Democratic colleagues from supporting the bill, which the proponents argue at least they would begin to provide supervision and controls on this key part of the industry.

Critics of the bill argue that it still allows an important escape to be distributed so that foreigners not regulated on decentralized cryptography platforms in the United States are distributed.

“Unfortunately, the Genius law greatly expands the Stablecoins market by not addressing the basic national security risks raised by them,” Warren said in a speech last week on the Senate’s floor. “It also includes escape lights that would allow Tether, a notorious foreign issuer from Stablecoin now based in El Salvador, access to US markets.”

US project

However, the CEO of Tether, Paolo Ardoino, has indicated in the last weeks that the company may not try to obtain its leading market in the US.

The regulation of the United States would be a lot to bite the Atala, which is not close to verifying those boxes. The company did not respond to a request for comments on Genius law, but Tether warned its users in its small print online updated this year: “If Tether does not comply with changing regulatory regimes, Tether and his affiliates may be subject to regulatory actions, which can negatively affect Tether and his ability to operate.”

Although the progress of the Senate is a victory of massive and unprecedented policy for the digital asset sector, there is a lot of uncertainty, because the Chamber will have its own opinion, and the most important classmates of colleagues, the bill that would establish regulations for the rest of the cryptographic space, is still being resolved. Stablecoin issuers will not obtain definitive responses about their US rules until a law clears Trump’s desk and relevant federal agencies and then turn it into specific regulations.

“The Path forward for Foreign Issuers Will Face Two Hurdle Access to the US Market, “Said Richard Rosenthal, to the main at deloitte who Focuses on Digital Assets regulations in the banking sector, in an email to Coindesk. “This is a politically controversial area, and it remains to be seen how this will develop.”

However, Frayer told Coindesk that it is unlikely that the legislators of the House of Representatives do the least tasty things for Tether, especially in front of the company’s ally in the Trump administration, the secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, whose old role in the Fitzgerald corridor saw him handling the US reserves of Tether.

“I do not think there is any world in which the camera went to anything that is in charge of it,” Frayer said, although he added that if the giant non -bank competitors begin to launch Stablecoins, such as Google and Amazon, “there may be some incentive for the camera to do more about that problem.”

Circling of competition?

Circle of the US company and its

I have been waiting on the wings to confiscate the market share of the main competitor, and Circle intends to be within what some expect to be an increase in cryptocurrencies in the United States after regulation. If institutional investors and traditional financial companies adopt digital assets as the waiting industry, Tether could miss that action if he continues to remain outside the financial system of the United States.

Earlier this year, the SEC of the United States added some stable to its growing list of cryptographic projects that the agency considers landing outside its concern. However, there was a small warning sign for Tel in the agency’s statement.

Even as the regulator, led by cryptographic leaders from Trump’s choice, dismissed Stablcoins, as well as outside his securities jurisdiction, he said in a footnote that Stablecoin’s appropriate reserves “do not include precious metals or other cryptographic assets,” which are part of Tether’s reserves. The Genius law explicitly declares that “the payment stable are not basic values ​​or products and the issuers of the allowed payment of payment are not investment companies, but it is not yet the law.

Such considerations are technically out of Tether’s concern in his current business model, which deliberately remains away from direct contact with US clients. For now.



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