CFTC appeals in the case of Kalshi electoral bets

The United States Public Future Trade Commission (CFTC) of the United States left its appeal in its case against Kalshi, a New York headquarters prediction market, according to a presentation of the court on Monday, which is finally clearing the way for the platform to offer political event contracts.

Under the conditions of the voluntary dismissal motion, which is still subject to the approval of the court, both parties will pay their own legal costs and Kalshi renounces any right to sue the CFTC for the litigation.

“Today is historical. We have always believed that doing things in the right way, no matter how difficult, no matter how painful, it is worth it. This result is proof of that,” said Kalshi’s CEO, Tarek Mansour, in a statement. “The Kalshi approach has officially and definitely ensured the future of prediction markets in the United States.”

Kalshi’s fight with the CFTC began in 2023, when the regulator denied Kalshi’s plan to allow users to bet on which party would control the cameras of Congress. At the time of denial, the CFTC, then under the leadership of former President Rostin Behnam, said such contracts involved illegal games and were “contrary to the public interest.”

That November, Kalshi sued the CFTC in Washington, DC, claiming that the CFTC had exceeded his authority when trying to block contracts and ask a judge to annul the decision. The court was put on the side of Kalshi in September 2024, cleaning the way for the platform to list political contracts.

Immediately after losing the case, the CFTC hastened to undo the decision of the district judge. He requested a 14 -day stay of the order, basically, a two -week delay in Kalshi’s capacity to list contracts while the CFTC prepared for an appeal, and was denied. Then, he presented an appeal, reiterating many of the same arguments he had used in his original defense.

However, shortly after oral arguments in early January, the president of the United States, Donald Trump, returned to office. His eldest son, Don Jr., joined Kalshi as a strategic advisor on January 13. Rob Schwartz, general advisor of the CFTC at the time the appeal was presented, left the agency in April after withdrawing from the case in March.

Under the leadership of the interim president Caroline Pham, the agency has changed its cryptography approach, reducing several guidance pieces related to cryptographic and reducing its variety of application people once in all only two, in an effort to simplify its regulation and application of the cryptographic industry.



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