Coinbase Litigation Head Says States Are ‘Lighting Up’ Prediction Markets

Why it is important: Ryan VanGrack, Coinbase’s vice president of legal and global head of litigation, is stepping up Coinbase’s challenge to state regulators, saying they are trying to rewrite Congress’s authority over derivatives.

  • Coinbase has filed lawsuits in Connecticut, Illinois, Michigan, and Nevada after launching prediction markets in partnership with Kalshi.
  • Some of those states issued cease-and-desist letters or public warnings, arguing that sporting event contracts amount to illegal gambling.
  • VanGrack said those actions left customers facing “real and imminent” threats that forced Coinbase to seek clarity in federal court.

The argument: VanGrack says states are framing the issue incorrectly.

  • Illinois officials argued in court that without state intervention, markets would be deregulated due to the CFTC’s limited resources.
  • VanGrack called that statement “gaslighting,” saying the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has long overseen multibillion-dollar derivatives markets.
  • He pointed to recent CFTC enforcement reminders about insider trading in event contracts as evidence that the agency is actively policing the space.

Federal power versus state power: At the center is who can regulate contracts for sports-related events.

  • VanGrack argued that the Commodity Exchange Act gives the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over swaps and derivatives, including event contracts.
  • The law contains a “special rule” that allows the CFTC (not states) to ban gaming event contracts for public policy reasons.
  • States are attempting to exclude sports contracts from the federal definition of trades, a reading VanGrack said is not supported by the statute’s text or precedent.

Sports betting distinction: Coinbase says exchange-traded contracts fundamentally differ from sports betting.

  • In a contracts market designated as Kalshi, buyers and sellers set prices on an exchange overseen by the CFTC.
  • At traditional sportsbooks, operators set odds and take the other part of the bet, a structure regulated by states.
  • No one is arguing that the CFTC regulates sports betting, VanGrack said, only that exchange-traded event contracts are subject to federal derivatives law.

At stake most important: The dispute reflects broader crypto fights over fragmented oversight.

  • VanGrack said states retain authority over consumer protection and fraud.
  • But subjecting national derivatives markets to “a patchwork of 50 regulators” would undermine investor confidence and market stability.
  • He said Congress long ago chose a unified federal framework for derivatives and that prediction markets should not be treated differently.

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