Let’s be honest.
Last month, I published a white paper that explains that conservative investors should assign 10% to cryptography, moderate customers should invest 25% and aggressive investors should place 40% of their wallets in cryptography.
Bitcoin has surpassed any other kinds of assets for 12 of the last 15 years, and it is very likely that he will continue to do so in the coming years. Institutions are investing as never before. Congress and administration now fully support Crypto, and we are beginning to obtain the regulatory clarity we have wanted.
The prohibitions of the SEC and Finra that blocked the negotiation or custody brokerage companies have been rescinded. The Occ and the Fed have revoked similar prohibitions against banks, and the Department of Labor has terminated their objection that avoided 401(K) Plans to offer bitcoin as an investment option.
Despite Bitcoin’s growth and performance, I still see suggestions that people must assign only 1 or 2 percent to cryptography. In my opinion, that is no longer enough. Crypto is no longer speculative. It is no longer a niche. Now it deserves to be treated as a nucleus assignment.
Consider this hypothetical illustration, comparing a traditional 60/40 portfolio of shares/bonds with wallets that have 10 percent, 25 percent or 40 percent in Bitcoin. Suppose we invest $ 100 for five years, winning 7 percent annually in the allocation of 60/40. Let’s see two extreme results: Bitcoin becomes useless or increases in five years to $ 1 million (approximately a 10x increase as of today).
As you can see in the box below, the $ 100 invested in the 60/40 portfolio increase to $ 140 after five years. Not bad. But the portfolio with a 25 percent bitcoin allocation could be worth more than 250 percent. Even if Bitcoin became useless (And you kept it to zero)Your portfolio would still be profitable, with a value above your original investment. It seems to me that the risk/reward ratio strongly favors a significant cryptography allocation, and certainly one that is much higher than a miserable 1 or 2 percent.
Potential Range of portfolio returns according to the Bitcoins allocation
The appreciation of Bitcoin prices is not speculation, it is only supply and demand. In the first quarter of 2025, public companies bought 95,000 bitcoins, more than double the new offer. And that is of a single category of buyers: ignores the additional demand of retail investors, financial advisors, family offices, coverage funds, institutional investors and sovereign wealth funds. This massive imbalance between supply and demand is promoting the price of Bitcoin to historical maximums. I predict that Bitcoin will reach $ 500,000 by 2030, a 5X increase from this writing.
The adoption curve has a tremendous space to execute, which supports the thesis that there is still no substantial advantage over the price of Bitcoin. Read the white paper to get more information.
