Bitcoin He enters the September negotiation about $ 107,000, but the story is not on his side.
The month has been the weakest for BTC on average, with an average decrease of approximately 5% and an average loss of around 6% in the last 12 years of market data.
Some point out that Microstrategy’s premium on Bitcoin is sliding at the same time that September’s seasonal weakness is coming. Nick Ruck of LVRG Research warns that this reflects deeper doubts about the company’s treasure strategy.
“Microstrategy’s recent fight to maintain his Bitcoin cousin reflects a broader market change where investors question the sustainability of corporate treasury models focused only on the accumulation of cryptography, a dynamic that could be exacerbated by the historically bassist September tendency for crypto assets,” Nick Ruck, director of LVRG Research.
“This cooling appetite underlines maturation in cryptographic markets, where structural vulnerabilities and competition are forcing a reevaluation of what really drives the long -term value beyond the simple bitcoin proxies,” Ruck added.
With the construction of Fed rate bets in September, a deceptive turn could soften seasonal drag. On the contrary, fresh ETF exits or other capital sale could reinforce the historical pattern and push BTC to a $ 100,000 support.
Meanwhile, ether (Eth) 1.7% fell to $ 4,390, while Solana’s Sol (SUN) 3.4% fell to $ 197.6. XRP He slid 4.3% to $ 2.72 and Dogecoin He withdrew from 4.2% to 21 cents, extending the profits last week in reversions.
Since 2013, Bitcoin has closed red in September 8, twelve times, with brutal reductions such as 13% slide in 2019 and 19% drop in 2014. Even during bull cycles, demonstrations have tended to stop. The brilliant lonely points were 2015, 2016 and 2023, with profits ranging from 2% to 7%.
That consistency has led merchants to deal with September almost as a trade trade. Seasonality refers to the tendency of assets to exhibit regular and predictable fluctuations that are repeated throughout the calendar year.
Although it may seem random, the possible reasons range from the taking of profits around the tax season in April and May, which can cause reduction, until the generally bullish concentration of “Santa Claus” in December, a signal of greater demand.
The pattern is not exclusive to cryptography, since actions also show weakness at this time of year; However, the most clear volatility of BTC makes it highlight.
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