US inflation data is the main catalyst to watch this week as it could influence market sentiment and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate expectations.
War in the Middle East and other geopolitical risks have kept commodity markets volatile, with bitcoin last week it failed to stay above the $70,000 mark.
The US-Israel conflict with Iran is escalating and the odds of a near-term ceasefire appear slim in prediction markets. Traders will monitor the price of crude oil for possible signs of its impact on inflation.
In that context, there are some specific crypto events that draw attention. Solstice and Kamino have teased a new product announcement, without giving any details, and Succinct also said it will make an announcement.
What to watch
(All times ET)
- Crypto
- March 9: Solstice and Kamino will announce a new product or feature. No details were provided.
- March 10: Succint will make an announcement. No details were provided.
- March 12: Polakdot’s economic upgrade will begin to roll out, with a DOT supply cap, emissions cut, and decoupling reduction.
- March 12: The BOB mainnet will undergo its Jovian fork.
- Macro
- March 9, 6:50 pm: Japan’s final annualized GDP growth for the fourth quarter estimated at 1.2% (previously -2.6%)
- March 9, 10:00 pm: China’s January-February trade balance (previous: $114.1 billion)
- March 11, 7:30 am: US annual inflation rate for February (previously 2.4%); Annual base rate (previously 2.5%)
- March 11: OPEC monthly report
- March 12, 7:30 am: US Initial Jobless Claims for Week Ending March 7 (Previous 213K)
- March 12, 7:30 am: US Trade Balance for January (Previous -$70.3 billion)
- March 12, 3:30 pm: Fed’s balance sheet for the week ending March 11 (previous: $6.63 trillion)
- March 13, 7:30 am: Second quarter-on-quarter estimate of the US GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter (forecast 4.4%)
- March 13, 7:30 am: US Core PCE Price Index MoM for January (previously 0.4%)
- March 13, 9:00 am: US JOLTS job openings for January (was 6.542 million)
- March 13, 9:00 am: Preliminary Michigan US Consumer Sentiment for March (Previous 56.6;)
- Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
- March 9: Sharplink (SBET), premarket, $0.31
- March 11: Exodus Movement (EXOD), pre-market, $0.14
- March 12: Cango (CANG), post-market, -$0.34
- March 13: Bit Digital (BTBT), pre-market, -$0.01
symbolic events
- Governance votes and calls
- Convex Finance is voting on Curve Ownership DAO Voting ID: 1358, which would incorporate GHO as a Pegkeeper with a debt limit of 3 million crvUSD. Voting ends March 9.
- Lido DAO is voting to make the Delegate Incentive Program (DIP 2.0) a permanent governance mechanism. Voting ends March 9.
- Lido DAO is voting to authorize a one-time Treasury DAO allocation of $5 million into the Lido Earn ETH and USD vaults. Voting ends March 9.
- Lido DAO is voting on whether Stakin (recently acquired by The Tie) should continue operating as a node operator and whether to approve updating Stakin’s on-chain name and reward address. Voting ends March 9.
- Aavegotchi DAO is conducting votes 1 and 2 of a multi-signer election, asking token holders to choose a signer from the nominees. Voting ends March 10.
- Ssv.network DAO is voting to cancel DIP-46 and reallocate the originally approved $15 million development budget, splitting it into $14.9 million for DVT and $100,000 as a retroactive research grant. Voting ends March 10.
- Realtoken Ecosystem Governance DAO is voting to temporarily reduce RMM (Real Estate Monetary Fund) interest rates to zero for 15 days. Voting ends March 10.
- Unlock DAO is voting to approve the Unlock Protocol DAO budget for Q1 and Q2 2026, totaling approximately $30,768. Voting ends March 11.
- Arbitrum DAO is voting to establish an operational directive that automatically consolidates idle and surplus non-ARB funds from DAO initiatives directly into the portfolio of Arbitrum Treasury Management Company (ATMC). Voting ends March 12.
- CoW DAO is voting on a CoW Swap affiliate program to reward affiliates who refer new retail traders and those traders who reach qualifying volume milestones, with up to 500,000 USDC allocated over a six-month pilot. Voting ends March 12.
- World Liberty Financial DAO is voting to introduce a WLFI governance staking system that requires unlocked token holders to stake (minimum lockup of 180 days) to participate in governance. Voting ends March 12.
- Arbitrum DAO is voting to implement a delegated voting power (DVP) quorum model, update its constitution, and allow cancellation of on-chain proposals. Voting ends March 12.
- Unlock
- March 12: Aptos to unlock 0.69% of its circulating supply worth $11.21 million
- March 13 – WhiteBit Coin (WBT) will unlock 27.77% of its circulating supply worth $4.59 billion.
- March 15 – Connex (CONX) will unlock 1.54% of its circulating supply worth $15.79 million.
- Token releases
- March 9 – Nexira (NEXI) token generation event occurs. Token that will appear on KuCoin.
- March 12 – ForU AI (FORU) token generation event occurs.
