Blockchain researcher ZachXBT has not yet named the target. Polymarket bettors are already evaluating it.
A prediction market asking which cryptocurrency company ZachXBT will expose for insider trading has attracted nearly $3 million in volume since the on-chain detective posted on He did not offer specific details beyond alleging insider trading.
That was enough. Within hours, Polymarket traders began placing bets between various candidates, and the resulting odds act as a real-time map of where the market believes the bodies are buried.
Polymarket is a blockchain-based prediction platform where users exchange contracts on real-world results using real money. Odds tend to reflect genuine conviction because bettors risk capital and not just opinions. The platform gained widespread credibility during the 2024 US election cycle and has since become the de facto indicator of crypto sentiment for unresolved events.
As of Tuesday’s Asian morning hours, Meteora is the heavy favorite at 43%, with volume of $319,000 on that result alone. The Solana-based liquidity layer has been a recurring name in community discussions about meme coin market structure, particularly around how launch liquidity is seeded and who ends up on the right side of early price movements.
His proximity to politically linked symbolic activity, including Trump-themed meme coins, has kept him in the spotlight.
Axiom is at 13%, followed by Pump.fun at 12% and the largest volume of individual results at $332,000, suggesting strong two-way action rather than consensus. Pump.fun’s listing follows months of scrutiny over initial attacks on wallets on the platform, although the project has denied accusations of insider advantages.
Jupiter rounds to 8% and MEXC to 7%. Jupiter’s presence reflects broader questions about Solana DeFi routing and fee mining, while MEXC has faced persistent conversations on social media about pricing behavior and the timing of whales in meme coin markets.
The odds have changed noticeably since the market opened. Axiom, Pump.fun and Jupiter have all fallen between 37% and 42% from their initial readings, while Meteora has consolidated its lead, a pattern that suggests early speculation has given way to more directional conviction as bettors analyze ZachXBT’s past work and post patterns for clues.
However, none of this constitutes evidence. Prediction markets value beliefs, not facts, and Polymarket probabilities reflect the collective speculation of a few thousand traders rather than any insider knowledge from the research itself.
But the market is doing what prediction markets do best: forcing participants to put capital behind their hunches instead of just tweeting them.
The answer comes in two days.
