- Google Gemini predicts smaller-than-expected SSD discounts for Black Friday 2025
- Internal and portable SSD prices likely to remain close to normal
- Buyers may see fewer deep cuts on Samsung, SanDisk, WD and Crucial drives
Gemini’s AI-generated forecasts for Amazon’s top 20 SSDs suggest that this year’s Black Friday discounts may not result in the dramatic price drops that shoppers expect.
Predictions for both portable and in-house models show mostly minor changes rather than deep reductions, suggesting a quieter season for storage deals in 2025.
We took prices from October 2023, November 2023, October 2024, November 2024, and October 2025, and then asked Gemini to forecast what it expected the prices to be in time for Black Friday this year (we provided some additional data, so it had context for all units).
Not big savings
Among portable SSDs, the SanDisk 2TB Extreme is expected to drop from £150 in October to around £140, while Samsung’s T7 Portable 2TB follows a similar pattern, dropping from £150 to £135.
The larger Samsung T9 4TB, which has held steady at £280, is expected to drop slightly to £260.
The Samsung Shield 4TB Portable SSD, which has fluctuated between £270 and £300, is expected to stabilize at the top end of that range (around £280), while Seagate’s 2TB Expansion SSD and the Crucial X9 2TB Portable show only marginal reductions, to around £185 and £110 respectively.
The SanDisk 1TB Portable and SSK 1TB USB external drives remain largely unchanged at £75 and £60.
Gemini’s mixed results, with some rows missing or misaligned, still show a consistent pattern: portable units are unlikely to see significant discounts this year.
Internal models tell a similar story. The Samsung 990 EVO Plus 2TB is expected to drop modestly from £117 to £105, while the 980 Pro 2TB drops from £140 to £130, and the 870 EVO 1TB drops from £88 to £80.
High-performance gaming options such as the WD Black SN7100 and SN850X are expected to hold firm at around £65 and £125, while budget options such as the 500GB PNY CS900 remain at around £27.
The Crucial P310 PCIe Gen4 SSD, down slightly from £70 to £68, and the Western Digital WD Blue 1TB, down from £64 to £60, show the only slight discounts. Neither is expected to drop last year’s price floor.
This moderate movement suggests that manufacturers and retailers are maintaining tighter margins, with higher component costs and less excess stock than in previous seasons.
In short, Black Friday 2025 SSD deals are shaping up to be stable rather than spectacular: prices are already close to their practical limits, leaving little room for deep cuts.
It’s worth noting that we’ve excluded current SSD prices from our data, as all of them are now considerably higher than they were in October, a common pre-sale pattern that makes eventual Black Friday “discounts” seem larger than they actually are.
|
Drive |
November 24 |
October 25 |
November 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SanDisk 2TB Extreme Portable SSD |
125 |
150 |
140 |
|
Samsung T7 2TB Portable SSD |
130 |
150 |
135 |
|
Samsung T9 4TB Portable SSD |
280 |
280 |
260 |
|
Samsung T7 Shield 4TB Portable SSD |
270 |
300 |
280 |
|
Seagate 2TB Storage Expansion Card |
191 |
190 |
185 |
|
SanDisk Extreme PRO 4TB Portable SSD |
280 |
280 |
265 |
|
Crucial X10 8TB Portable SSD |
0 |
439 |
409 |
|
Crucial X9 2TB Portable SSD |
110 |
110 |
110 |
|
1TB SSK USB Drive, External SSD |
66 |
62 |
60 |
|
SanDisk 1TB Portable SSD |
75 |
81.4 |
75 |
|
Drive |
November 24 |
October 25 |
November 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Samsung 990PRO SSD 2TB |
150 |
140 |
130 |
|
WD Black SN7100 1TB NVMe SSD |
0 |
70 |
65 |
|
Samsung 870 EVO SATA III SSD |
95 |
88 |
80 |
|
Crucial P310 1TB SSD |
73 |
70 |
68 |
|
WD Black SN850X NVMe 2TB Internal Gaming SSD |
125 |
140 |
125 |
|
PNY CS900 500GB 3D SSD |
27 |
30 |
27 |
|
Samsung SSD 9100 PRO 2TB |
50 |
60 |
50 |
|
Samsung SSD 9100 PRO 2TB (workstation) |
0 |
170 |
155 |
|
Western Digital 1TB WD Blue |
62 |
64 |
60 |
|
Samsung 990 EVO Plus SSD |
150 |
117 |
105 |
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