Ripple-pegged XRP drops 25% below $1.42 as traders eye breakout

XRP gave up ground after failing to hold above $1.45, and the pullback came even as Ripple moved deeper into institutional finance through a cross-border Treasury tokenized deal alongside JPMorgan and Mastercard. The move lower is important because XRP is now near the same breakout zone that traders had been waiting for confirmation just days before.

News background

• Ripple, JPMorgan, Mastercard and Ondo Finance completed a near-real-time cross-border swap of tokenized US Treasuries on the XRP Ledger, with settlement completed in less than five seconds.

• The transaction was conducted over Mastercard’s Multi-Token network before JPMorgan’s Kinexys platform delivered dollars to Ripple’s banking partner in Singapore outside of traditional banking hours.

• The pilot adds to the growing institutional focus on tokenized financial infrastructure, with DTCC also preparing to launch its own tokenization platform later this year.

Price Action Summary

• XRP fell from $1.4534 to $1.4137 during the 24-hour session, reversing after an earlier push towards $1.45.
• Heavy selling during the 13:00 UTC session on May 6, when volume of 131.28 million pushed the price through the support at $1.4460.
• The price subsequently stabilized around the $1.41 area after a strong intraday recovery from session lows near $1.409.

Technical analysis

• The rejection near $1.45 is important because that level has repeatedly capped bullish attempts during the broader consolidation range.
• XRP still holds above the broader breakout zone of $1.40, but momentum cooled sharply after the failed attempt to rally.
• The market is now compressing between support near $1.41 and resistance between $1.45 and $1.47, a range that looks increasingly unstable given increasingly tight liquidity conditions.
• Analysts continue to point to a larger bullish flag structure on higher timeframes, although shorter-term charts still show distribution pressure on rallies.

What traders should keep in mind

• $1.40-1.41 is now the key support zone. Losing him would weaken the recent breakout structure.
• $1.45-1.47 remains the level the bulls need to recover to reopen the momentum towards $1.60 and above.
• Liquidity conditions remain tight, increasing the likelihood of sharper than normal moves once the range is finally broken.

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