Why Trump’s bitcoin ETF plans likely collapsed before they even got off the ground

Trump Media & Technology Group likely abandoned plans for its bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) because the economy was no longer working.

ETF analysts say the company behind Truth Social faced a brutal reality: The bitcoin ETF spot market has become saturated, fees have collapsed, and investors already have more than a dozen similar products to choose from.

This week, Trump Media withdrew registration statements with the US Securities and Exchange Commission for the “Truth Social Bitcoin ETF” and the “Truth Social Bitcoin & Ethereum ETF,” ending plans to launch the funds.

The company described the move as a “structural reset” designed to help it create the right investment products for investors. But analysts who follow the ETF market say competitive pressure was the most likely reason.

“The first five Truth Social ETFs have received a lukewarm reception, attracting just over $30 million in combined assets since their launch in late 2025,” Nate Geraci, president of NovaDius Wealth Management, told CoinDesk.

“That lukewarm response from investors may have deterred the company from entering a highly competitive category, where it would go up against some of the world’s largest asset managers and well-established crypto-native ETF issuers,” Geraci said. With bitcoin ETF spot rates already as low as 14 basis points, the Truth Social Bitcoin ETF would likely have been “a dead man walking,” he said.

Pressure on fees has intensified in recent months as major Wall Street firms expanded into crypto products. Morgan Stanley recently launched a bitcoin ETF that charges 14 basis points, one of the cheapest offerings on the market.

That raised the bar for any new entrants trying to gain traction.

Bloomberg Intelligence ETF analyst James Seyffart questioned Trump Media’s explanation for the withdrawal. In X, Seyffart said the company pointed out differences between products registered under the Securities Act of 1933 and funds structured under the Investment Company Act of 1940.

“But it doesn’t make much sense to me,” Seyffart wrote. “Of course, an Act 33 ETP is different from an Act 40 ETF and has fewer protections. Anyone in this space knows that. Nothing has changed.”

Instead, Seyffart said he suspects “it has more to do with the competitive landscape for spot bitcoin ETFs.”

He added that Trump Media can still pursue cryptocurrency-related funds under an Act 40 structure, which allows issuers to create more flexible strategies using derivatives, income products or actively managed portfolios.

“I mean, do we really need a 14th-ranked bitcoin ETF?” Seyffart wrote. “But something that can be differentiated more makes sense.”

Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, pointed directly to the fee war.

“My guess: The Yorkville guy told Truth to people after MSBT that they either had to have a rate lower than 14 basis points or they better forget about it,” Balchunas wrote in X. “No one will buy it, and it could be embarrassing.”

Some crypto observers speculated that the withdrawal could have been related to political scrutiny of the Trump family’s crypto companies or negotiations linked to the CLARITY Act. Seyffart told CoinDesk that he doesn’t believe those concerns drove the decision.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *