2026 World Cup Odds: How dominant have France and Mbappé been?

Following its 2-0 victory over Morocco on Thursday, France advanced to its third consecutive World Cup semi-finals.

When the odds were officially released in December 2022, France was +600 to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Then, on June 11, 2026, the day the tournament began, France was +450 to win the title.

Now, following their quarter-final victory and dominant dominance of the tournament to the semi-finals, the odds on Les Bleus lifting the trophy have risen to +130, the lowest mark of any nation so far.

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France opened its World Cup campaign with a 3-1 victory over Senegal. After a slow first half, Les Bleus broke the game open, scoring three goals in the second half, including a brace from Kylian Mbappé.

France maintained that momentum throughout the rest of the group stage, defeating Iraq 3-0 and Norway 4-1 to finish atop Group I. Against Iraq, France completely dominated the match, outshooting them 19-4 and recording 41 touches in the opposition box compared to Iraq’s seven. Les Bleus followed up with another commanding performance against Norway, scoring four goals with another 18 shots.

France has been even more dominant in the knockout phase. Didier Deschamps’ team has yet to concede a goal, beating Sweden, Paraguay and Morocco by a combined 6-0. In those three games, France outshot its opponents 62-18, highlighting the level of control it has maintained throughout the tournament.

So how dominant has France’s World Cup run been? Let’s dig into the numbers.

The dominion of France

• France is the only team in this tournament to have won all six regulation matches, having won five of them by multiple goals.
• In six games, France has outscored its opponents 16-2.
• France has not been left behind in the tournament so far.
• France leads the tournament in goals with 16.
• France leads the tournament in assists with 14.
• France leads the tournament in attempts on goal with 47, 13 more than any other nation.
• France became the third nation to reach three consecutive World Cup semi-finals (Germany twice, Brazil).
• France recorded its 45th World Cup victory, tied with Italy in fourth place (Brazil-79, Germany-70, Argentina-52).
• France has advanced in seven of its last nine quarterfinals, winning five outright and advancing on penalties twice.

Mbappé’s dominance

Before the 2026 World Cup began, Kylian Mbappé was +600 to win the Golden Boot. After scoring eight goals in six games, Mbappé’s odds have increased to +105. He is now the favorite over Lionel Messi (+150).

• Mbappé has 20 career World Cup goals, making him the second-highest scorer in the tournament’s history and just one goal behind Messi.
• Mbappé is now the first player to score eight goals in two different World Cups.
• Mbappé extended his World Cup scoring record to 12 goals in the knockout phase.
• Mbappé has half of France’s 16 goals in this tournament so far.
• Mbappé has participated in 11 goals in the 2026 World Cup (eight goals, three assists); It is the most by a player in a single edition of the World Cup since Gerd Müller in 1970 (10 goals, three assists).
• Mbappé played his 20th World Cup game under Didier Deschamps, the most of any player under the same coach.
• Mbappé has recorded 10 goal involvements in each of his last two World Cups; He is the only player on record since 1966 to have achieved this in two different tournaments.
• Mbappé is the first player involved in 100 goals with the French national team (64 goals, 36 assists).
• Mbappé has scored the winning goal in eight World Cup games, now the most of any player in history.
• Mbappé has 17 goals without penalties in the World Cup, tied with Messi for the most in history.

Mbappé-Dembélé-Olise connection

• France (Mbappé with eight, Dembélé with five) is the first team since Brazil 2002 to have two players score five goals in the same World Cup (Ronaldo, Rivaldo).
• Ousmane Dembélé and Mbappé have combined for 13 goals in this World Cup.
• The Mbappé-Dembélé duo has generated more assists between themselves (two assists from Dembélé to Mbappé, three from Mbappé to Dembélé) than any other registered duo (since 1966) in the competition.
• Michael Olise is the first player with more than 5 assists in a World Cup since German Thomas Hässler in 1994; Olise seeks to equal the single World Cup record with six (Pelé 1970).