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Despite ongoing discussions about further expansion to 16 or 24 teams, the College Football Playoff will remain a 12-team field for the 2026-27 season.
With that, the “Missing the College Football Playoff” betting market allows bettors to bet on which programs will not reach next season’s CFP field.
And while Lane Kiffin’s hiring shocked the SEC over the past six months, LSU opened as a surprising favorite (-190) to miss the CFP in the first year of the new era.
But LSU is far from the only power facing major skepticism.
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Entering Year 3 under Kalen DeBoer, Alabama (-185) is also a favorite to miss the playoffs, while Michigan (-350) is a heavy favorite to miss the postseason in Kyle Whittingham’s first season.
The Crimson Tide lost Ty Simpson to the NFL and will need to improve a rushing attack that ranked 126th in yards per carry last season. Bryce Underwood returns for the Wolverines with an entirely new coaching staff that includes offensive coordinator Jason Becht.
On the other hand, bettors expect the Big Ten to once again dominate the playoff picture. Indiana, Ohio State and Oregon are viewed as likely CFP teams based on early numbers.
After winning the national championship last season, the Hoosiers reloaded through the transfer portal, bringing in former TCU quarterback Josh Hoover to replace Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza. Ohio State returns quarterback Julian Sayin and superstar receiver Jeremiah Smith, while Oregon brings back star quarterback Dante Moore.
However, Notre Dame stands out the most, as the Fighting Irish currently have the best odds to make the playoffs.
Even though Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price are headed to the NFL, Notre Dame brings back Heisman Trophy favorite CJ Carr, four returning starters on the offensive line and a defense that is expected to be among the best in the nation.
Let’s take a look at the latest odds on FanDuel Sportsbook as of May 6.
Missing the 2026-27 College Football Playoff
USC: -360 (bet $10 to win $12.78 total)
Michigan: -350 (bet $10 to win $12.86 total)
Oklahoma: -300 (bet $10 to win $13.33 total)
Ole Miss: -220 (bet $10 to win $14.55 total)
LSU: -190 (bet $10 to win $15.26 total)
Alabama: -185 (bet $10 to win $15.41 total)
Texas A&M: -160 (bet $10 to win $16.25 total)
Texas Tech: +130 (bet $10 to win $23 total)
Texas: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)
Georgia: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total)
Ohio State: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Oregon: +220 (bet $10 to win $32 total)
Miami (FL): +230 (bet $10 to win $33 total)
Indiana: +260 (bet $10 to win $36 total)
Notre Dame: +470 (bet $10 to win $57 total)
