Last year was my worst year of baseball plays for OutKick. It wasn’t terrible by any means, but I never found a footing and never had a good run. I feel like I’m in the middle of a hot streak or maybe at the beginning of one, as I’ve played five straight plays without prop players and seven of my last eight plays. Baseball is usually my most profitable sport, so I hope we have our funds loaded this year.
The Kansas City Royals have been a bit of a disappointment this season. They are 19-23 so far this year and have lost twice as many road games as they have won, a 6-13 mark.
In general, the team seems to have difficulty scoring. They rank 22nd in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.1 runs per game. It’s not terrible by any means. His batting average isn’t terrible; They are 15th in the league, which is right in the middle.
Kansas City Royals starter Seth Lugo throws out a pitch against the Baltimore Orioles during the first inning at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri, on April 20, 2026. (Denny Medley/Image Images)
His pitching hasn’t been very good, but one guy who has been pretty reliable is Seth Lugo. If you have read my posts in the past, you will know that I have made a lot of money from openings in Lugo. He is 1-2 on the season with a 3.21 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. He has made eight starts this season and two of them were bad. One was against the Los Angeles Angels, where he allowed seven earned runs in 6.1 innings. In his last outing, he allowed four runs and seven hits in four innings.
This will be the second time he faces the Chicago White Sox this season. In the first outing, he worked 6.1 innings and allowed two runs, one earned. He has not allowed more than two earned runs in a game against the White Sox in 41.1 career innings.
The Chicago White Sox are a surprise to start the season. I live in Chicago and I don’t think most fans or residents here thought they would be that good. Well, I guess, it’s a relative term in this situation. They are under .500 entering today’s game at 20-21, but have a winning home record at 10-9. Their off-season signing, Munetaka Murakami, has been a very good power hitter with 15 home runs this year. However, the team is only hitting .231 this year, so there should be reason to be pessimistic about the team’s future.
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Bobby Witt Jr. slides past Cal Raleigh’s tag at home plate to score during the seventh inning at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington, on July 3, 2025. The Kansas City Royals won 3-2 over the Seattle Mariners. (Alika Jenner/Getty Images)
Wednesday’s starter for the White Sox is Noah Schultz. His numbers are not very good with a 2-2 record with a 4.68 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. However, not all of his outings have been bad. He has only made two starts at home, working 10.1 innings and allowing five earned runs. I have some concerns about his mechanics, as he’s already walked 16 guys in 25 innings. He’s also a fly ball pitcher, which isn’t ideal in Chicago, where wind can be a factor. He has never faced the Royals.
I bet on the Royals the last time Lugo took the mound against them. They lost the game 2-0. I’m reposting it here because I’m not impressed by Schultz. Plus, this would give the White Sox a sweep, and as bad as the Royals have been, I can’t see them allowing themselves to get swept. Give me the Royals at a very reasonable price of -120.
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Munetaka Murakami of the Chicago White Sox celebrates his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the seventh inning in Phoenix, Arizona, on April 22, 2026. (Ross D. Franklin/AP Photo)
In addition, I stick with Lugo’s pillar that continues to give: less than 2.5 earned runs are allowed. He’s -118 and has been very good against the White Sox in the past. I will be rooting for Lugo once again and hope we can get a 2-0 Royals win tonight.
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