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Going into seasons, we form opinions based on last season and what they did during the offseason. As the season progresses, we must find out if those opinions are valid or not. Sometimes it can be a challenge to let it go, but as sports bettors, we absolutely cannot hold on to thoughts and be stubborn. In my opinion, two teams on different ends are the Chicago White Sox and the San Francisco Giants, who play on Friday night.
Coming into this year, I expected the White Sox to be better, but I didn’t expect them to be this good. They’re above .500, which won’t exactly launch them into the playoffs, but for a team that’s been terrible in recent years, this is progress. There is still work to do, but the good news for them is that they have assets to trade or add people if they wish. Plus, they are in a very winnable division.
Munetaka Murakami of the Chicago White Sox celebrates his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the seventh inning in Phoenix, Arizona, on April 22, 2026. (Ross D. Franklin/AP Photo)
I would still be surprised if the team won more than 80 games this season, but I guess it’s nice that Chicago fans are happy for now. They have found some very good pitchers in recent seasons, and this year they have another one in Davis Martin, tonight’s starter.
MartÃn is 29 years old and is in his fourth season. He’s been phenomenal this year. For the season, Martin is 6-1 with a 1.61 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. He hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in his last eight starts, and what really impresses me is that he doesn’t allow many hits in games. The Giants are 4 for 15 against Martin in his career.
I was wrong about the San Francisco Giants. I thought they would be pretty competitive this season and so far that hasn’t been the case. The team is 10 games under .500 and looks lost. I knew the split was a long shot, but this team should be better. Are they bad because they don’t respect their new manager? That seems a little unlikely, but whatever the case, they’re not playing great baseball. They don’t score runs. They have a .244 batting average, which is solid and 12th in the league, but the 173 runs are last in the league.
WHITE SOX’S MUNETAKA MURAKAMI AND COLSON MONTGOMERY COMBINE TO ACHIEVE HISTORIC DAYTIME FEAT

Chicago White Sox manager Will Venable meets on the mound with catcher Drew Romo, shortstop Colson Montgomery, first baseman Munetaka Murakami and second baseman Chase Meidroth during an MLB game at Rate Field in Chicago on May 13, 2026. (Patrick Gorski/Icon Sportswire)
With Matt Chapman, Rafael Devers and Willy Adames, I imagine they would eventually start to get more consistent scores. Those three have combined for a .236 batting average and 12 home runs. On the pitching side, Trevor McDonald has had a solid season so far. He is 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Those numbers have come in just three games this season. He turned in seven innings of two hits and one run in his only home start.
I think there are two good options for this game: The Giants have lost three straight games and don’t look very good at home or on the road. The White Sox are playing better baseball, but they lost their last series against the Mariners. However, I think they have a great chance to win this game with Martin on the mound. I think the best bet here is to take Martin’s earned runs allowed under 2.5 runs.

San Francisco Giants manager Tony Vitello reacts to an umpire’s call during the second inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida, on May 2, 2026. (Pablo Robles/Imagn Images)
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I think the game in general should also sink. I really like what I’ve seen from McDonald and think he and Martin on the mound could combine to keep offenses off the board. Give me the minus of 7.5. The Giants team’s under total and the White Sox team’s under total look great too.
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