BTC ETFs attract $273 million in two weeks. That’s a pittance compared to the recent exodus.

That interpretation is intuitive given that ETFs, which allow investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrency without directly owning it, are widely seen as a cleaner entryway into the crypto market for institutions. As a result, positive ETF inflows are considered to mean that BTC is receiving institutional support, while outflows suggest the opposite.

Bitcoin price has also stabilized between $64,000 and $65,000 lately, offering hope that it may have bottomed out. Prices peaked at more than $126,000 in October last year.

On the surface, it appears the tide has turned. However, there is a huge caveat that makes these ETF inflows look like statistical noise rather than structural change.

The Reality Test of Peanuts

The hype surrounding this $273 million entry quickly evaporated compared to the carnage of the previous eight weeks. During that two-month outflow streak, the market saw billions of dollars walk out the door.

To put the current “recovery” in perspective: The total amount of money that has flowed into the market over the past 14 days ($273 million) is just above the smallest single-week outflow recorded during that eight-week decline, which was $226.84 million in the week ending June 18.

In other words, it took two full weeks of “renewed optimism” just to offset the quietest week of the recent selloff.

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