Fact or fiction? Checking Ohtani’s Cy Young chances, judge’s MVP quest


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Will Shohei Ohtani win the National League Cy Young? Will Aaron Judge be replaced as American League MVP? Will the New York Mets turn things around?

All of those questions are answered in the latest edition of MLB on FOX’s “Fact or Fiction” with MLB on FOX analyst Dontrelle Willis.

Dontrell Willis predicts what is fact or fiction for the rest of the 2026 MLB season

Shohei Ohtani will win the Cy Young: Fact

“He’s already on pace: 18 innings pitched, 18 strikeouts. He’ll continue to stay healthy. Dave Roberts and company continue to give him opportunities. Plus, he’s holding up. He’s not running as much. He won’t see some of those triples we know and love, especially on days when he has to go both ways, starting and hitting. But he’ll stay healthy, 2 for 14 last month, or they’ll go to a five-man rotation to get him enough reps to get him the Cy Young.”

Aaron Judge will win his fourth consecutive MVP: Fiction

(New York Yankees Photo/Getty Images)

“Yordan Alvarez is a monster. He’s going to stay healthy. He leads the American League in home runs and RBIs, third in batting average. I know the Astros are in last place right now, so he’s going to have to do consistent damage to get them out of that cellar, but I think he’s going to win the MVP award.”

Mets will finish last in the NL East: Fiction

“They better not be in last place, you hear me! All that talent. All that payroll. All that expectation. I think they’re going to come out of the basement. Juan Soto will be back. (Bo) Bichette will be better. (Luis) Robert will be better… I have a hard time believing they’ll be in last place. It’s been catastrophic, but I don’t think it’s going to be that way all season long.”

The Pirates will make the playoffs: Fact

“They’ll come in. First of all, I love the addition of (Ryan) O’Hearn. He’s been outstanding, leading the team in batting average. O’Neil Cruz is a healthy monster. Nineteen RBIs, nine stolen bases already on the season, and I love this rotation from top to bottom. Yes, we know the ace, Paul Skenes, but veteran (Mitch) Keller has a 2.7 ERA, (Braxton) Ashcraft has a 2.3 They have enough talent, swings and misses in that rotation to keep their offense in games all day and the crowd is starting to feel it.”

Mason Miller will allow a race before the end of April: Fiction

“He’s a machine right now. The fastball goes 100 to 103 miles an hour. The slider is harder than my fastball… He’s getting a 70% whiff rate on the slider alone. You keep seeing that nasty changeup. Listen, he’s living on the edge. It’s a tough coverage. I don’t think he’s going to give up a run, not just this month, but next month.”

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