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It’s rivalry week in baseball, and I can’t say I fully understand what that looks like for some of these teams. The Toronto Blue Jays, for example, play the Detroit Tigers. Is it just because they are so close? Or is it because Canada is too good to have a real rival, so they just assigned them the Tigers?
Who knows. Either way, we have an all-New York matchup and I think we’ll get a good price for one of the teams today.
Carlos Rodón of the New York Yankees reacts after the sixth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida, on August 19, 2025. (Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)
The New York Yankees are among the best teams in baseball right now and there isn’t much reason to believe that will change over the course of the year. For the season, they have a record of 28-17, but have some issues on the road as they are only 14-11 on the road.
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However, if the Yankees maintain this pace, they project to be a 100-win club. While that doesn’t guarantee anything, it should make them a potential host for most of the postseason.
I’m sure there will be slumps and problems along the way but so far everything has gone well and they seem to be getting stronger with guys like today’s starter returning to the club. Carlos Rodón will take the hill today and look to improve his unstable first start. Against the Brewers in his last start, he went 4.1 innings, allowing two hits, three earned runs and five walks.
The hikes are the biggest concern for me, but maybe I was just learning the mechanics of them. Mets hitters haven’t had much success against Rodon, hitting just .215 in 65 at-bats.
New York Yankees pitcher Carlos Rodon pitches during the first inning against the Cleveland Guardians in game one of the American League Championship Series at Yankee Stadium in the 2024 MLB playoffs. (Brad Penner/Image Images)
Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but this was supposed to be a big year for the New York Mets. As an objective observer, I’ll at least give them credit for trying. There are many big league clubs that don’t put in any effort.
The problem is that throwing money at players doesn’t seem to translate the same way it does for, say, the Dodgers. The team is 18-26 on the season, with exactly half of its wins and losses coming at home. Their hitting is tough, with only a .225 batting average, and they are in the bottom quarter of the league in runs scored.
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Their pitching has been reliable, but they just injured one of their starters. What’s crazy, to me, is that, other than Freddy Peralta, the Mets pitching has no names you really recognize. However, they are making good starts. Hits just don’t do it.
Saturday will be a bullpen game for the club with Huáscar Brazoban taking the mound to start it. The Mets have one of the best bullpens in the league, but I’m not going to run to the window to root for them.
Juan Soto of the New York Mets reacts after hitting an RBI single during the fifth inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Opening Day at Citi Field in New York City on March 26, 2026. (Ishika Samant/Getty Images)
Saturday has a chance to be ugly for the Mets. Bullpen games can be good and have become increasingly popular over the years. I think this game is probably under the posted 8.5 runs because the Mets can somehow play the matchups. I also think Rodón has talent and the Yankees also have a good bullpen.
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I don’t feel overwhelmingly confident in both plays, so I’m taking one unit and dividing it between the Yankees winning the game. And the other half of a unit will be below. The Yankees are a better club with more consistent hitting and I think the pitching should have the advantage overall.
For more information on sports betting and gambling, follow David on X/Twitter: @futuroprez2024
